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Home » Y-12 Performance Predicts Cadet Performance Surprisingly Well

Y-12 Performance Predicts Cadet Performance Surprisingly Well

In my post When Can Youth and Cadet Fencers Make a Breakthrough? I talk about the small changes that occur year by year, but I don’t talk about the large changes that can happen over a large period of time. 

I didn’t think that this was on-topic for that post, but did you know that there is an approximately 0.6 Spearman rank correlation between the seeding of fencers between their second year of Y12 and their first year of Cadet? That means that even after four years, the previous seeding still has a moderate-strong predictive powerpower the probability that a study will correctly reject the null hypothesis when it is false, indicating the sensitivity of a test to detect an effect if it truly exists

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